Free NCAAF Pick | UCF vs SMU | Sports Betting Tips

Free NCAAF Pick | UCF vs SMU | Sports Betting Tips

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WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGS AN AAC MATCHUP BETWEEN THE SMU MUSTANGS AND THE UCF KNIGHTS. KICK OFF IS SCHEDULED FOR 7:00 PM IN ORLANDO.
SMU (2-2) IS COMING OFF A LOSS AGAINST TCU 42-34 TWO WEEKS AGO BEHIND TANNER MORDECAI THROWING FOR 372 YARDS AND 2 TDS, BUT ULTIMATELY TCU WAS TOO MUCH FOR THEM TO HANDLE. SMU IS CURRENTLY RANKED IN THE TOP 10 IN BOTH TOTAL AND PASSING YARDS WHILE BEING RANKED 22ND SCORING 38.5 POINTS PER GAME.
MORDECAI IS COMPLETING 58% OF HIS PASSES AND HAS THROWN FOR 12 TDS AND 5 PICKS AND IS AVERAGING 346.3 YARDS PER GAME. RASHEE RICE IS HIS FAVORITE TARGET HAVING RECORDED 34 RECEPTIONS FOR 565 YARDS (16.6 AVERAGE) AND 4 TOUCHDOWNS.
THEIR RUSHING ATTACK IS CURRENTLY RANKED 124TH AVERAGING 153 YARDS PER GAME BEHIND LEAD RUSHER TRE SIGGERS WHO HAS RUSHED FOR 200 YARDS AND 4 TOUCHDOWNS.
DEFENSIVELY THE MUSTANGS ARE ALLOWING 419 YARDS PER GAME AND 25.5 POINTS PER GAME BEING RANKED 187TH AND 195TH IN BOTH CATEGORIES RESPECTIVELY WHICH IS THEIR ACHILLES HEEL COMING INTO THIS GAME. SO FAR, ALL THEIR OPPONENTS HAVE RUSHED FOR 100+ YARDS AND EVEN 2 OF THEM HAVE RUSHED FOR OVER 200 YARDS.
UCF BEAT GEORGIA TECH ON THEIR LAST OUTING 27-10 WHERE STARTING QB JOHN RHYS PLUMLEE COMPLETED 8 OF HIS 16 PASSES FOR 49 YARDS AND 1 PICK BUT RAN FOR 100 YARDS ON 16 CARRIES AND HAD 1 RUSHING TD. RJ HARVEY ALSO ADDED 73 RUSHING YARDS FOR THE KNIGHTS IN A GAME THAT UCF RAN FOR A TOTAL OF 284 YARDS.
THE KNIGHTS ARE LEANING THIS SEASON ON A GROUND AND POUND APPROACH, LEADING THE AAC IN YARDS PER CARRY (5.5). THEIR LEAD RUSHER IS THEIR DUAL THREAT QB WITH 404 YARDS SO FAR WHO HAS RUSHED FOR 100 YARDS IN 3 OF HIS 4 GAMES SO FAR.
THOUGH UCF IS BETTER KNOWN FOR THEIR OFFENSE IT HAS BEEN THEIR DEFENSE HAS BEEN A PLEASANT SURPRISE, ALLOWING 170 PASSING YARDS PER GAME AND ONLY 13.5 POINTS PER GAME WHILE ALLOWING A 26.8% 3RD DOWN CONVERSION RATE.
UCF IS CURRENTLY 4-0-1 ATS IN THEIR LAST 5 GAMES VS SMU WHEN PLAYING AT HOME AND THE FAVORITES COME INTO THIS GAME 7-2-1 ATS IN THEIR LAST 10 MEETINGS. WITH A HIGH-POWERED RUNNING GAME AND SMU HAVING A LOUSY RUSHING DEFENSE WE PICK UCF -3.5 FOR THIS GAME.

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